Wednesday, May 14, 2014

The Man Behind Hudak's 1 million Jobs Plan.



Behind every great economic plan is the idiot who created it. I would like you to meet MrBenjamin Zycher.
Mr. Zycher has a long history as being an economist, having worked for many far right wing groups in the United States. Yes folks, Tim Hudak, the leader of the PC Party hired a well known Tea Party Republican to help him put together his 1 million jobs plan.

Given all the unemployment in Canada, which by the way is still higher than the United States, you would think that Hudak could have found someone in Ontario to help him come up with his dud of a jobs plan. What really bugs me, and it should bug you is what Mr. Zycher has to say on a number of other topics.

Here are just a very examples of his writings:

“The heat is on. The environmental Left is on the attack, and the target now is not ExxonMobil, or the Kochs, or the Keystone XL pipeline, or fossil fuels, or the efforts of the world’s desperately poor to escape grinding poverty, or plastics, or indoor plumbing, or those who fail to worship Gaia, or any of the other usual suspects. Instead, it is President Obama, urged last month in an open letter by 16 environmental groups to prevent the exportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and to make a commitment to keep ‘most of our nation’s fossil fuel reserves in the ground, in line with the recommendations of most of the world’s leading climate scientists’ … The letter obviously is far more a political than an analytical document, and as a reflection of scientific understanding it is deeply disingenuous. That the authors have defined their policy prescriptions as a ‘good-faith test’ for Mr. Obama is amusing in that the letter is a blatant exercise in disinformation. Thus have the environmental groups chosen to pollute the political process in pursuit of a massive suppression of technological advance and enhanced wealth for ordinary working people, an appalling exercise in bad faith. For them it is also business as usual.” American Enterprise Institute online magazine, April 8, 2014
“Now, let me be blunt: Michelle Obama, the product of lifelong affirmative-action coddling, is an intellectual lightweight who fancies herself a serious thinker. Just read her Princeton senior thesis, an intermittently coherent stream-of-consciousness pile of leftist jargon, campus pseudo-seriousness, and racial-identity babble. Can there be any doubt that the Princeton administrators accepted it only because of her skin colour?” National Review Online, Aug. 17, 2009
“I simply cannot remember an Oval Office quite so devoid of economic thinking. The latest example is the pending regulatory change, announced yesterday, which would raise the salary level above which certain classes of workers would be exempt from receiving overtime pay. Accordingly, the overtime pay requirement would be extended to vastly more workers … Suppose that the market-determined competitive salary for such workers putting in 50-60 hours per week is say, $750 per week, or $39,000 per year … Assume now that such work were to require only 40 hours per week; does President Obama actually believe that there would be no change in the competitive market salary? In other words, it is rather obvious that the market-determined salary reflects the long hours that some workers must devote to their jobs: a requirement for harder work, other factors held constant, reduces the supply of workers willing to provide it, thus raising the market salary … But until we have some ‘objective’ measure of ‘fairness’ - a mirage if ever there was one - only market competition can tell us the value of extra-hard work, in the form of prices determined by millions of individual choices made freely.”AEI blog, March 14, 2014
Mr. Zycher, president of his own research firm, has a long CV that includes his current role as resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and earlier stints at everywhere from the Milken Institute and UCLA to RAND Corp. and the U.S. State Department.
And in the wouldn’t-you-know-it category, he was senior staff economist on Ronald Reagan’s President’s Council of Economic Advisers.
What the CV doesn’t tell you – but his writings do – is that he hates government bureaucracy and positively loathes the “environmental Left.” He has thoughts on greenhouse gas, affirmative action, and working people.
As The Globe and Mail’s Adrian Morrow reports, the Ontario Conservatives chose Mr. Zycher to analyze their program in the run-up to the June 12 provincial election.
The program – the Million Jobs Plan – pledges to create that many jobs over eight years by cutting corporate taxes, killing subsidies for alternative energy, joining the trade agreement of the western provinces, slashing red tape and ending the endless traffic jams in Toronto. Oh, and it assumes that about half those jobs would have been created anyway.
“These economic benefits of the proposed reforms are substantial, and the rationales offered in defense of the status quo are dubious,” Mr. Zycher said in his 18-page study.

Hudak's job plan is a dud.



Hudak's plan to create 1 million new jobs over 8 years is a dud. Economic forecasts are saying that over the next several years over 500,000 jobs will be added to the economy, regardless of who wins the provincial election.

Here's a great piece regarding the latest polling numbers and Hudak's 1 million jobs plan.

Nearly two-thirds of Ontarians disapprove of Tim Hudak’s plan to cut 100,000 public servants to streamline government, a new poll suggests.
The Forum Research survey also found‎ 63 per cent do not think the Progressive Conservative leader will be able to create his promised 1 million new jobs, while 26 per cent feel he can deliver and 11 per cent don’t know.
‎Similarly, 26 per cent approve of cutting 100,000 public-sector workers — such as teachers and bureaucrats — while 62 per cent do not and‎ 11 per cent aren’t sure.
“The number is just shocking people. One hundred thousand is a lot,” Forum president Lorne Bozinoff said Tuesday.
“‎They may be too far out there,” Bozinoff said of the Conservatives’ controversial platform pledge to reduce the broader public sector over four years to spur the creation of what the PCs calculate will be 1,030,688 private-sector jobs by 2022.
Indeed, Hudak’s restraint proposal has taken a toll on the party’s popularity as the June 12 election campaign heats up.
Kathleen Wynne’s governing Liberals now lead with 38 per cent support to 35 per cent for the Conservatives, 21 per cent for Andrea Horwath’s New Democrats, and 5 per cent for Mike Schreiner’s Greens.
In the May 2 Forum poll, the Tories were at 38 per cent, the Liberals 33 per cent, the NDP 22 per cent, and the Greens at 6 per cent.
Using interactive voice-response phone calls, Forum surveyed 996 people across Ontario on Monday and results are considered accurate to within three percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Extrapolating the polling results suggests the Liberals would secure 68 seats in the 107-member legislature, the Conservatives 26, and the NDP 13, said Bozinoff.
“It’s not a huge change in the standings, but it makes a major difference in the seats,” the pollster said of the movement since last week. He noted the Liberals tend to win urban seats by narrow margins while the Tories pile up huge pluralities in rural ridings.
At dissolution, there were 48 Liberal MPPs, including Speaker Dave Levac, 37 Tories, 21 New Democrats, and one vacancy.
In terms of personal approval, Wynne was at 38 per cent (up from 34 per cent on May 2), Horwath was at 35 per cent (36 per cent in the previous poll), and Hudak was 23 per cent (down from 26 per cent).
Hudak told the Star he is not surprised his popularity has taken a hit over his “bold” plan to rein in government spending to eliminate the deficit by 2016-17 — one year ahead of Wynne’s target for balancing the books.
“Listen, this is why I engaged in straight talk early on,” he said, conceding the cutting will be “a tough slog . . . that has to be done.”
A senior Liberal strategist said Hudak’s austerity proposal is “definitely resonating in a negative way.”
“People don’t understand starting a ‘million jobs plan’ with 100,000 cuts,” the Grit said on background.
“It’s a much clearer choice than voters often get.”
Wynne said Hudak’s scheme, which also includes corporate tax cuts, is a “backwards step” that has landed with a thud, allowing her to focus on a “stark” contrast facing voters.
“If you think it’s right to give billions more to already profitable corporations while putting 100,000 of our friends and neighbours out of work, then vote for Tim Hudak,” she said in Toronto.
Horwath insisted her campaign “is doing well” despite her main rivals receiving the lion’s share of media attention.
The NDP chief said she is the only leader putting forward solutions to the problems faced by ordinary Ontarians.
“We are going to continue over the next little while to lay out a number of priorities,” she said Tuesday in Toronto. “People will have a choice on June 12 in terms of what kind of Ontario they want.”
Forum’s poll is statistically weighted by age, region, and other variables to ensure the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest census data. The weighting formula has been shared with the Star and raw polling results are housed at the University of Toronto’s political science department’s data library.